Comments on: Of Goats and Porsches: A Monty Hall Paradox Simulator http://andrewfraserdba.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/ Oracle DBA (plus SQL Server) Wed, 14 Jul 2010 09:54:31 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: steveyoung http://andrewfraserdba.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-34 steveyoung Thu, 14 Aug 2008 10:26:21 +0000 http://andrewfraser.wordpress.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-34 I guess every tries this when they start scripting ;-) My version is here http://members.chello.at/stephen.joung/monte.html Steve. I guess every tries this when they start scripting ;-)

My version is here http://members.chello.at/stephen.joung/monte.html

Steve.

]]> By: Uri Kalish http://andrewfraserdba.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-33 Uri Kalish Tue, 01 May 2007 04:09:01 +0000 http://andrewfraser.wordpress.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-33 I've got my own version: http://urikalish.blogspot.com/2007/02/vertigo-and-lion-intuition-can-be.html I’ve got my own version:
http://urikalish.blogspot.com/2007/02/vertigo-and-lion-intuition-can-be.html

]]> By: Mark http://andrewfraserdba.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-32 Mark Mon, 29 Jan 2007 04:51:27 +0000 http://andrewfraser.wordpress.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-32 We learned this in my statistics class. The rationale is that whether or not your first choice is actually a goat, Monte will always reveal another goat. If he didn't know, you would have a 1/3 chance of getting it right. But because he does know, if you switch you now have a 1/2 chance. If you don't switch you still have a 1/3 chance. We learned this in my statistics class. The rationale is that whether or not your first choice is actually a goat, Monte will always reveal another goat. If he didn’t know, you would have a 1/3 chance of getting it right. But because he does know, if you switch you now have a 1/2 chance. If you don’t switch you still have a 1/3 chance.

]]> By: Simon Kelsey http://andrewfraserdba.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-31 Simon Kelsey Thu, 18 Jan 2007 16:06:09 +0000 http://andrewfraser.wordpress.com/2007/01/17/of-goats-and-porsches-a-monty-hall-paradox-simulator/#comment-31 Funny, I was only discussing this with someone the other day. The way I pursuaded them that switching was better was to scale the whole thing up. If you had a million doors and you pick one, and 999,998 others are revealed to be "goats", leaving only yours and one other, then clearly you would switch. Nice shell script though, you really must have too much time on your hands (although I did write a korn shell script to solve those tricky sudoku puzzles - OK, I admit it, I'm a geek at heart.) Funny, I was only discussing this with someone the other day. The way I pursuaded them that switching was better was to scale the whole thing up. If you had a million doors and you pick one, and 999,998 others are revealed to be “goats”, leaving only yours and one other, then clearly you would switch. Nice shell script though, you really must have too much time on your hands (although I did write a korn shell script to solve those tricky sudoku puzzles – OK, I admit it, I’m a geek at heart.)

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